My Election Predictions

In an effort to put myself out there before the polls open tomorrow, here are my projections on the national elections.

Bush takes the election with electoral votes of 283 to 255. Bush takes Ohio, Florida and late in the night, Hawaii. Kerry takes Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota (barely). Popular vote: Bush 51.3%; Kerry 47.9%; Nader .7%. As far as the Senate, the GOP picks up 2 or 3 seats and in the House, they pick up 8.

If we're lucky, tomorrow around 10 pm Tuesday night we'll know if I'm correct. Hopefully, we won't have a need for legal challenges

UPDATE As of 11:00 am PST 11/03/04 George Bush has 274 EV with New Mexico and Iowa likely to go to him as well which would give GW 286 EV v. Kerry's 254. Of the three major candidates, GW took 51.4% and Kerry had 48.3% of the popular vote. In the Senate, the GOP did markedly better than my estimate by picking up 3 seats with two more likely in Florida and Alaska which would shift the Senate to 55-44-1. And in the House, the net increase will be about the eight seats I predicted.